Same Birthday

AllPages
RecentChanges
Links to this page
Edit this page
Search
Entry portal
Advice For New Users

What is the smallest group size that would give a better that even chance of two people sharing the same birthday?

For a group size of n, the probability that all people have a different Birthday = $\frac{364}{365}\times\frac{363}{365}\times\frac{362}{365}...\frac{366-n}{365}$ = p

The probability that at least one pair share a birthday = 1 - p

Number
of People
Chance of
no pairs
Chance of
at least
one pair
1 1 0
2 0.997 0.003
3 0.992 0.008
4 0.984 0.016
. ... ...
22 0.524 0.476
23 0.493 0.507

If there are 23 or more (randomly chosen) people in a group then there is a more than even chance that two will share a birthday.


Links to this page / Page history / Last change to this page
Recent changes / Edit this page (with sufficient authority)
All pages / Search / Change password / Logout